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by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros will clash once again at Dodger Stadium today for the finale of their three-game series, with the Dodgers hoping to salvage at least one win and avoid a demoralizing sweep at home. The series has been all Houston so far, with the Astros opening with a stunning 18-1 blowout victory in Game 1, followed by a more competitive but still convincing 6-4 win in Game 2. For the Dodgers, who entered this series on a four-game winning streak, these two games have exposed lingering concerns — particularly their inability to produce timely offense and the bullpen’s ongoing control issues.
Despite being known for their potent lineup, the Dodgers have not been able to put runs on the board in this series. After scoring 26 total runs in their previous four games, Los Angeles has managed just five across the first two games against Houston.
Much of that can be attributed to the Astros’ ability to control the strike zone and capitalize on Dodgers' pitching mistakes. Houston, a team that averages just over four runs per game (ranking 22nd in MLB), has suddenly erupted at the plate, finding the right time to string hits together and apply pressure.
One major storyline has been the Dodgers’ bullpen struggles. Walks have plagued them all season, and Game 1 against Houston was no exception. The Astros drew eight walks in that contest, many of which led to scoring opportunities. Control issues like these have cost the Dodgers dearly, and unless addressed, they could continue to derail the team as the season progresses.
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Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
1
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0.622 | 90 | 56 | 34 |
3
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0.607 | 89 | 54 | 35 |
Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers Latest Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 3, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
Jun 22, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
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Houston Astros against Los Angeles Dodgers : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 28, 2024 - MLB
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May 26, 2021 - MLB
Houston Astros - Los Angeles Dodgers Key Points
- The Dodgers are 16-17 against the run line after a loss
- The Astros are 22-31 against the run line after a win
- The Over/Under is 20-30-3 for the Astros after a win
- The Over/Under is 21-12 for the Astros after a loss
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Our Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
On the mound today, Los Angeles will turn to Emmet Sheehan, a young arm with potential but limited big-league experience. Sheehan did not pitch as a favorite last season, and he’ll be tested by an Astros team that’s become more aggressive in recent weeks.
Houston will counter with Ryan Gusto, who brings a 5-3 record into today’s game. While the Astros are only 4-7 against the spread when Gusto starts, his recent outings have been strong enough to keep games competitive.
Offensively, the Dodgers remain among the top hitting clubs in the league. However, their inability to cash in with runners in scoring position has been a recurring theme in this series. Houston, meanwhile, continues to struggle in that same area but has done just enough to secure wins.
Expect a high-energy effort from both clubs today, with Houston likely to remain aggressive at the plate in hopes of pushing the game total over. The Dodgers, now backed into a corner, will need a big performance to avoid being swept on their home turf. Our prediction for LA Dodgers vs. Houston Astros: Dodgers to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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