Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
10/26/25 21:00
CF Pachuca

Prediction:

 

Toluca Win and 3 or More Goals in the Match

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 by Edgar Jibran in Liga MX Picks

The midweek Liga MX matchday was very tough for Toluca, as they faced very defensive tactics from Tijuana at Caliente Stadium. With that in mind, the current champions will come back home next Sunday night to face Pachuca, a game that is expected to be spectacular due to the current performance of these teams throughout the regular season.

On the one hand, Toluca is expected to have Paulinho available again, as the Portuguese was the biggest absence this team had during their referred game against Tijuana. With this in mind, the offense power will be fully boosted, and there’s a big chance of having the team working for him to secure his back-to-back top goal scorer award.

On the other hand, Pachuca also faced a very tough game during the midweek; however, they lost at home against Tigres UANL (1-2). That game was their second winless game, and it generated a very concerning impact on the roster because Pedro Pedraza, Eduardo Bauermann, and Oussama Idrissi won’t be available to play against Toluca as they were suspended after receiving yellow and red cards, respectively.

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Pachuca Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
33 15 10 3 2 23
7
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
22 15 6 4 5 2

Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Pachuca Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca Latest matches
L L D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Oct 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
CF Pachuca

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Queretaro
W W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Queretaro

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
0 :  2
Tijuana

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

CF Pachuca
3 :  2
San Diego FC
L D L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Oct 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
CF Pachuca

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

CF America
2 :  0
CF Pachuca

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  1
CF Pachuca

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  1
CF Pachuca

Deportivo Toluca FC against CF Pachuca : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

67 %

Draw

17 %

CF Pachuca

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Mar 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
CF Pachuca

Sep 17, 2024 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 30, 2024 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 3, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
5 :  0
CF Pachuca

Feb 19, 2023 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 30, 2022 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
3 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC
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Deportivo Toluca FC against CF Pachuca Lineups: Starting 11

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
L. Garcia
19
S. Simon
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
5
F. Romero
8
N. Castro
14
M. Ruiz
9
A. Vega
10
R. Angulo
26
Paulinho
32
G. Togni
23
L. Quinones
26
A. Bautista
10
E. Valencia
41
W. Carvalho
8
V. Guzman
13
J. Berlanga
3
D. Aceves
2
S. Barreto
12
B. Garcia
25
C. Moreno

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

CF Pachuca

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato CF Pachuca
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (26 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Venezuela S. Rondon (10 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (18 Assists)
Best assists
Morocco O. Idrissi (4 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Pachuca Key Points

  1. Toluca has a four-game winning streak, during which they have scored three or more goals per game.
  2. Pachuca conceded at least one goal in four of their last five road games. In these games, they couldn’t defeat teams like Puebla and FC Juarez.
  3. Toluca has a two-game home winning streak when facing Pachuca, games in which they scored three or more goals per game.
  4. Pachuca has scored two or more goals in four of their last five road meetings with Toluca.
Up to $500+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - CF Pachuca! 

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Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Despite Pachuca having been one of the toughest opponents that Toluca could have played against during the most recent seasons, it’s a fact that having many absences will definitely generate a negative impact on their performance.

With this in mind, Pachuca isn’t expected to survive at the Nemesio Diez Stadium, so they should get focused on defending well to avoid conceding many goals that could play against them in the standings, as they still haven’t secured the play-in. Therefore, the pick for Deportivo Toluca FC – CF Pachuca is: Toluca Win and 3 or More Goals in the Match!

Prediction:

 

Toluca Win and 3 or More Goals in the Match

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs CF Pachuca Picks