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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Cincinnati Reds will resume their weekend series on Saturday with the home team eyeing to bounce back at Citizens Ball Park.
The Phillies dropped Friday’s series opener to the Reds after blowing an early 3-0 lead. Jesus Luzardo faltered in his latest mound duty, conceding five runs in 2.0 innings. Despite a forgettable pitching performance, Philadelphia still owns a solid 3.20 ERA in their last five games. Philadelphia also averages 4.4 runs per game on a .287 BA in the five-game stretch.
The Reds have won their second straight game behind another productive night from their batting unit. Tyler Stephenson and Elly De La Cruz each drove 2 runs each to lead Cincinnati’s offense on Friday. Starter Andrew Abbott allowed four runs in 3.1 innings pitches but reliever Tony Santillan came to the rescue, striking out Alec Bohn with the bases loaded in the 8th inning.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.589 | 90 | 53 | 37 |
|
15
|
0.511 | 90 | 46 | 44 |
Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds against Philadelphia Phillies : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
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Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games on the road.
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Our Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
Why should you bet on the UNDER 8.1 Runs? (Win $100 on a $101 Bet) – Since Nick Lodolo (4.86 ERA in the last 5 starts) will be going head-to-head with Ranger Suarez (1.26 ERA in the last 5 starts), the likelihood of a low-scoring affair in Game 2 has increased significantly, mainly because of the reputation of these two outstanding starters carry. Lodolo surrendered 3 earned runs in 5.0 innings the last time he faced the Phillies on April 12, 2024. Suarez did better as he blanked the Reds for 7.0 innings in a 7-0 win. Moreover, the total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games and 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 against an opponent in the National League.
Our betting prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: Under 8.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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