Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7/20/25 13:40
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-122
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 by Erik Gibbs in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets are set to conclude their current series in a matchup that features two playoff contenders heading in opposite directions. The Reds, one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, have surged into the National League playoff picture with an impressive 6-1 record over their last seven games. That run includes back-to-back wins against both the Colorado Rockies and these very Mets, who are struggling mightily to keep pace in the National League East.

Cincinnati enters the day with a 52-47 record, sitting 7.5 games back of the division-leading Cubs in the NL Central. However, they’re just 1.5 games behind the Padres for the final National League Wild Card spot, making every game down the stretch critical. The Reds have won four in a row, and their recent surge has been driven by timely hitting and improved pitching. Their momentum makes them a dangerous opponent, even against more established rosters.

The Mets, meanwhile, are facing serious midseason turbulence. After Saturday’s 5-2 loss to the Reds, New York has now dropped three straight games and 20 of their last 30 overall. While they still hold a 55-44 record — good for second in the NL East — the gap between them and the division-leading Phillies has grown to 1.5 games. Despite a strong start to the season, the Mets' recent offensive woes are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
8
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.556 99 55 44
13
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
0.525 99 52 47

Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets Latest Matches

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Cincinnati Reds
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
12 :  2
Cincinnati Reds
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  12
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  3
New York Mets
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Cincinnati Reds against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Cincinnati Reds

67 %

New York Mets

33 %

Jul 19, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
5 :  2
New York Mets

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  1
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  6
New York Mets

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The Mets are 46-48 ATS this season
  2. The Reds are 49-44 ATS this season
  3. The Over is 42-52 for the Mets this season
  4. The Over is 41-49-3 for the Reds this season

Our Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction

Today’s pitching matchup features two left-handers who have been pitching well of late. New York will start David Peterson, a 29-year-old southpaw who has quietly put together one of the league’s better statistical seasons. With a 3.06 ERA  and a 1.32 ERA across his last two starts, Peterson has emerged as a reliable force on the mound. In his last outing, he silenced the Orioles, giving up just one run on four hits across seven innings.

Cincinnati counters with 26-year-old Andrew Abbott, who is coming off a strong performance of his own. In a win over Miami, Abbott went 7.2 innings, allowing just one run and striking out five. Like Peterson, he’s been a dependable arm for his club and will be tasked with keeping the Mets’ lineup in check.

Statistically, neither offense has been explosive of late. Over the past two weeks, the Mets rank just 21st in weighted on-base average (.303) and 19th in isolated power (.158). The Reds are only slightly better, ranking 20th in wOBA (.304) and 14th in ISO (.171). With both teams struggling to generate consistent power, today’s game projects as a low-scoring affair.

Despite Cincinnati’s current hot streak, the pitching edge goes to New York, thanks to Peterson’s recent form and season-long consistency. If the Mets can scrape together just enough offense, they’re in good shape to avoid a sweep and end their losing streak with a much-needed win. Our prediction for the New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: Mets win a low-scoring affair.

Prediction:

 

Under 8.5

-122
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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Picks