Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
7/19/25 16:10
New York Mets

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-118
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 by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets are set for game two of their weekend series, with both teams firmly entrenched in the National League playoff conversation. On Friday, the Reds came out swinging, taking an 8-4 win in the opener and gaining crucial ground in the Wild Card race. Cincinnati has picked up momentum in recent weeks and now sits just 2.5 games behind the third and final NL Wild Card spot. A strong showing against the Mets could help them inch closer to postseason contention.

For the Mets, Friday’s loss was a disappointing start to the second half of the season. New York finished the first half inconsistently, dropping three of their last five games, including a series finale against the Royals in Kansas City.

Despite the stumble, they remain in second place in the National League East, trying to keep pace with the division-leading Philadelphia Phillies. With plenty of games left on the calendar, the Mets are still within striking distance but will need to tighten up in key matchups like this one.

Today marks the second of six meetings between the Reds and Mets this season, and both clubs are hoping to set the tone early in the series.

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Form

Table

Teams % P W L
8
New York Mets
New York Mets
0.556 99 55 44
13
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
0.525 99 52 47

Cincinnati Reds and New York Mets Latest Matches

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Cincinnati Reds
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
2 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  4
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Colorado Rockies
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
0 :  6
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 9, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
2 :  7
Cincinnati Reds

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

Miami Marlins
12 :  2
Cincinnati Reds
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  3
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
1 :  5
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
9 :  6
Philadelphia Phillies

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
Boston Red Sox

Jul 1, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  5
Boston Red Sox
New York Mets
New York Mets Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Baltimore Orioles
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 6, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  4
New York Mets

Jul 5, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
6 :  12
New York Mets

Jul 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
5 :  6
New York Mets

Jul 3, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
2 :  3
New York Mets

Jul 2, 2025 - MLB

Milwaukee Brewers
3 :  7
New York Mets
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
2 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  1
Kansas City Royals

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
8 :  3
Kansas City Royals

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 10, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
1 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Jul 8, 2025 - MLB

New York Mets
7 :  6
Baltimore Orioles

Cincinnati Reds against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)

Cincinnati Reds

50 %

New York Mets

50 %

Jul 18, 2025 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
8 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 8, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  1
New York Mets

Sep 7, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  4
New York Mets

Sep 6, 2024 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
4 :  6
New York Mets

Apr 6, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
6 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

Apr 5, 2024 - MLB

New York Mets
3 :  2
Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds - New York Mets Key Points

  1. The Mets are 46-47 ATS this season
  2. The Reds are 48-44-0 ATS this season
  3. The Over is 44-51-3 for the Mets this season
  4. The over is 40-53-5 for the Reds this season

Our Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction

On the mound, Cincinnati will send right-hander Nick Martinez to the hill. Martinez has had a rollercoaster of a season, going 7-9 over 21 appearances, including eight quality starts.

While he's shown flashes of effectiveness, he’s struggled on the road, posting a 2-5 record and an ERA nearing 5.00 in away games. The Reds will need a solid outing from Martinez to fend off a Mets offense that’s beginning to get healthier and more experienced with several veteran hitters returning to the lineup.

The Mets will counter with right-hander Clay Holmes, who has been one of their more dependable starters this year. Holmes enters the game with an 8-4 record through 19 starts and a respectable 3.16 ERA at home. He’s been particularly strong at Citi Field, going 4-1 on the year when pitching in front of the home crowd. That home field advantage could be a difference-maker, especially against a Reds team that has hovered below .500 on the road, with a 22-25 away record entering today.

With both teams eyeing the playoffs, every game counts, and today’s matchup could have ripple effects in the National League standings. Our prediction for NY Mets for Cincinnati Reds: Mets to win.

Prediction:

 

Over 8.5

-118
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Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Picks