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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs, two teams leading their respective division right now, clash for the first time this season on Friday at Citi Field.
The Mets are only 2-3 in their last five games, but they are fresh off a resounding 7-1 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday. New York boasts the best ERA in baseball (2.89 ERA) on top of having a top-10 offense. The Mets rank 10th in the MLB in both batting average (.249) and total runs (141), while parading a top-10 slugging percentage (.420) and on-base percentage (.331).
The Cubs have lost 3 of their last 4 games since winning 3 in a row. Chicago remains on top of the NL Central Division with a 22-16 record, 3 full games ahead of the 19-19 St. Louis Cardinals. Chicago’s pitching numbers (3.95 ERA and 1.31 WHIP) are mid by league standards, but their offense are running like a well-oiled machine that has already produced a league-leading 223 total runs this season.
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Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
4
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0.625 | 40 | 25 | 15 |
10
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0.575 | 40 | 23 | 17 |
Chicago Cubs and New York Mets Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
Apr 27, 2025 - MLB
Apr 26, 2025 - MLB
Apr 25, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 3, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
Apr 29, 2025 - MLB

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 1, 2025 - MLB
Apr 30, 2025 - MLB
Apr 29, 2025 - MLB
Apr 23, 2025 - MLB
Apr 22, 2025 - MLB
Apr 21, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 7, 2025 - MLB
May 6, 2025 - MLB
May 5, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 4, 2025 - MLB
May 2, 2025 - MLB
Chicago Cubs against New York Mets : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jun 23, 2024 - MLB
Jun 22, 2024 - MLB
Jun 21, 2024 - MLB
Sep 13, 2022 - MLB
Aug 29, 2019 - MLB
Aug 28, 2019 - MLB
Chicago Cubs - New York Mets Key Points
- Chicago Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against NY Mets.
- Chicago Cubs is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road.
- NY Mets is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games.
- NY Mets is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home.
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Our Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets have beaten the Cubs 4 in their last 6 meetings, 3 of which were won by at least two runs. Mets will be starting Clay Holmes (2.96 ERA), who has led them to a victory in his last five starts. Holmes will be dueling with Cubs starter James Taillon (2.76 ERA), who is 3-0 in his last three starts vs. the Mets. I wouldn’t be surprised if we got a low-scoring series opener on Friday since we have two strong pitchers duking it out on the mound. However, I still like the Mets’ chance of beating the Cubs at home by at least two points. The Mets play much better at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game and pitching a staggering 2.30 ERA at Citi Field. The Cubs are not a bad road team (12-7). It is just that the Mets are dominant at home (13-3 at Citi Field) this season. Our betting prediction for the New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: Mets -1.5 Runs
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