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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
After a phenomenal pitching display in the first two games, the Minnesota Twins eye a sweep in Thursday’s series finale with the Chicago Cubs at Target Field.
The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games, including back-to-back wins over NL Central’s No.1 team, improving their record to 45-47. Minnesota sits at No.3 in the American League Central but the window is still open for them to ascend in their division, if they can sustain their terrific form on the mound. Over the last five games, Minnesota has pitched an outstanding 3.13 ERA and only allowed an average of 0.4 opponents homers per game in the stretch. Offense has also been terrific for Minnesota, who puts up an average of 5.8 runs per game over their last 5 assignments.
The Cubs have absorbed 3 losses in their last four games, dropping to 54-38 in the season. Chicago are now just 1.5 games ahead of the 53-40 Milwaukee Brewers in the standing, putting them in danger of conceding the top spot in the NL Central with another loss to the Twins on Thursday. The Cubs hasn’t established consistently strong pitching in the last five games, during which their ERA has risen to 4.81 – significantly higher than their 3.85 ERA in the season.
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Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
0.594 | 96 | 57 | 39 |
|
18
|
0.49 | 96 | 47 | 49 |
Chicago Cubs and Minnesota Twins Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 3, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 3, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
Jun 28, 2025 - MLB
Jun 27, 2025 - MLB
Jun 26, 2025 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jul 3, 2025 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Jul 6, 2025 - MLB
Jul 5, 2025 - MLB
Jul 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 26, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 3, 2025 - MLB
Jul 2, 2025 - MLB
Jul 1, 2025 - MLB
Jun 29, 2025 - MLB
Jun 28, 2025 - MLB
Jun 27, 2025 - MLB
Chicago Cubs against Minnesota Twins : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jul 9, 2025 - MLB
Jul 8, 2025 - MLB
Aug 7, 2024 - MLB
Aug 6, 2024 - MLB
Aug 5, 2024 - MLB
Sep 19, 2020 - MLB
Chicago Cubs - Minnesota Twins Key Points
- Chicago Cubs is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Minnesota.
- Chicago Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
- Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago Cubs.
- Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
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Our Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Why should you pick the Cubs to cover the 1.5 runs handicap (Win $123 on a $100 Bet) – Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 meetings with the Cubs. The Twins also covered the spread in 6 of those wins, including Wednesday’s 4-2 victory. However, the Twins could be precarious with Chris Paddack starting on Thursday.
Paddack has been posting erratic numbers in his last 5 starts (2-3, 7.99 ERA), which makes him vulnerable to a Cubs offense that continues to be potent despite their pitching woes at 6.5 runs per game over the last five games. In addition, Chicago will send one of their most consistent starters, Collin Rea, to the mound on Thursday. Rea has powered the Cubs to victory in 4 of his last 5 starts, carrying a 5.27 ERA.
Our betting prediction for the Chicago Cubs vs. the Minnesota Twins: the Cubs will cover -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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