Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
10/18/25 10:00
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Brighton win both halves

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Brighton and Newcastle find themselves neck-and-neck in the Premier League table ahead of Saturday's fixture, both with remarkably similar records so far. Both clubs have 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their opening seven matches, separated only by goal difference at this stage. For Brighton, it's been a mixed start under their new management. The Seagulls opened the season brightly but then hit some turbulence, resulting in three defeats already.

That said, they have steadied recently – their last outing before the break was a 1-1 draw away at Wolves, where Brighton showed resilience by salvaging a point thanks to a late equalizer from an unlikely source (defender Jan Paul van Hecke). Overall, Brighton's games have been lively affairs, but defensive frailties have crept in during some matches, and converting dominance into wins has been an issue. At home on the south coast, they've been decent, and they will hope to assert themselves with their usual attacking flair.

Newcastle United, after a heavy summer of transfer activity, had a somewhat slow start as new signings bedded in. They too have seven matches under their belt with a balanced 2-3-2 record. In recent weeks, the Magpies have begun to hit their stride. Before the international break, Newcastle beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 at home, a solid performance that extended their unbeaten run to four games in all competitions.

In fact, Newcastle have only one defeat in their last five outings – a narrow late loss to Arsenal – suggesting they are becoming tough to beat again. Their defense has tightened up, and they have shown they can grind out results on the road (three draws in four away games indicates a resilient approach). Still, those draws away highlight that Newcastle haven't been free-scoring on their travels. As they visit Brighton, Newcastle sit marginally ahead in the standings thanks to goal difference, and they'll aim to keep a small edge by avoiding defeat.

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Brighton vs Newcastle Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Brighton
Brighton
12 8 3 3 2 1
12
Newcastle
Newcastle
9 8 2 3 3 0

Brighton and Newcastle Latest Matches

Brighton
Brighton Latest matches
W L D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City
W W W D W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester City

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Fulham

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

Jul 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  1
Stoke

May 19, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  2
Liverpool
L W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brighton

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  3
Brighton

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Barnsley
0 :  6
Brighton

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Brighton

Aug 27, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton

Aug 24, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Brighton
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
L D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
4 :  1
Bradford City FC

Sep 18, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
1 :  2
Barcelona

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

Aug 25, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  3
Liverpool
L D D D D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
0 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

K-League Allstars
1 :  0
Newcastle

Brighton against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Newcastle

Mar 2, 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  2
Brighton

Oct 19, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
0 :  1
Brighton

May 11, 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  1
Brighton

Sep 2, 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Newcastle

May 18, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
4 :  1
Brighton

Brighton against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Verbruggen
27
M. Wieffer
5
L. Dunk
6
J. Van Hecke
24
F. Kadioglu
17
C. Baleba
26
Y. Ayari
11
Y. Minteh
10
G. Rutter
25
D. Gomez
18
D. Welbeck
10
A. Gordon
27
N. Woltemade
20
A. Elanga
7
Joelinton
8
S. Tonali
39
B. Guimaraes
33
D. Burn
4
S. Botman
12
M. Thiaw
2
K. Trippier
1
N. Pope

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

A. Webster

J. Veltman

Midfielder

J. Hinshelwood

S. March

K. Mitoma

B. Gruda

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

T. Livramento

L. Hall

Midfielder

Y. Wissa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Paraguay D. Gomez (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Woltemade (5 Goals)
Best assists
Gambia Y. Minteh (2 Assists)
France G. Rutter (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy S. Tonali (2 Assists)
England J. Murphy (2 Assists)

Brighton - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Brighton are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Newcastle are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 4-1 in Brighton's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 1-4 in Newcastle's last 5 games
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Our Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction

Brighton's attack is typically a collective effort, but one player to watch is winger Kaoru Mitoma. The Japanese international is a creative spark – his dribbling and chance creation have been standout features even in games Brighton didn't win. Mitoma's ability to stretch defenses could pose problems for Newcastle's back line.

Newcastle, meanwhile, have an in-form forward in Nick Woltemade. The young German striker (a summer signing) has been a revelation, scoring four goals in his first five starts for the Magpies. Woltemade's recent scoring streak has given Newcastle a real cutting edge up front, and he'll be the main danger man for Brighton to contain.

With both teams so evenly matched in form and points, this game looks tough to call. Brighton will have home advantage and a desire to impose their attacking style, while Newcastle have been well-organized and hard to break down. A neutral outlook might expect a closely fought draw, as neither side will want to give ground to a direct mid-table rival. Newcastle's sturdiness could earn them at least a point, though Brighton's creativity could just as easily produce a breakthrough. In the end, a score draw (perhaps 1-1 or 2-2) seems a realistic prediction given the balance and the offensive talent on display from both squads. Our prediction for Brighton vs Newcastle: Brighton to win.

Prediction:

 

Brighton win both halves

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Newcastle Picks
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