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by Erik Gibbs | in MLB Picks
The Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays return to the diamond today for game two of their three-game weekend series at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay dominated the opener with an emphatic 11-1 win on Friday night, snapping a six-game skid and regaining some much-needed momentum in their push to climb the American League East standings. The Rays now sit at 51-47, holding fourth place in a tough division, while the Orioles have dropped to 43-53, remaining at the bottom of the AL East.
Tampa Bay’s big win in the series opener was a welcome sight after back-to-back series losses to the Red Sox and Tigers, during which the team dropped six of eight games. The offense came alive on Friday, providing a rare outburst during what’s been a frustrating stretch. The Rays are 29-25 at home this season and will look to keep that advantage going today as they aim to build some consistency in the second half.
Baltimore, on the other hand, has hit a rough patch. The Orioles have now lost three straight games and were outscored 28-2 during that stretch. Despite showing signs of life earlier in the month (taking two of three from the Mets) they’ve since stumbled, including losing a series to the Marlins.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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13
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0.525 | 99 | 52 | 47 |
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24
|
0.443 | 97 | 43 | 54 |
Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays Latest Matches
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Baltimore Orioles against Tampa Bay Rays : Head to Head (H2H)
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Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays Key Points
- The O's have a win-loss record of 15-19 when favored by +103 on the moneyline
- The O's are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
- The Rays are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games
- The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as favorites in the second game of a back-to-back
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Our Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction
The Orioles have a strong chance to bounce back today thanks to their starting pitcher, Dean Kremer. Kremer has been one of Baltimore’s most reliable arms recently. In four of his last five starts, he’s allowed one earned run or fewer, showing impressive command and poise on the mound.
He’s also performed well in divisional matchups, particularly when cast as the underdog. Kremer has recorded at least six strikeouts in six of his last eight starts when the Orioles are underdogs on the road against AL East opponents—an encouraging trend heading into today’s game.
The Rays will counter with Zack Littell, who has been solid in his own right. Littell has given up just one earned run in three of his last four outings and has kept hitters off balance with his mix of fastballs and sliders. It sets the stage for a potential pitcher’s duel between two starters currently in good form.
If Baltimore’s offense can give Kremer just a bit of support, the Orioles have a real chance to even the series. Kremer's recent track record suggests he can keep Tampa’s bats in check—making him the key to Baltimore getting back in the win column. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: Orioles to win.
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