Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
10/18/25 15:00
Osasuna

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-115
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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Atlético Madrid have been building a solid run of form and will aim to keep it going as they host Osasuna. Atleti sit in the upper tier of the La Liga table (around 5th place) and are unbeaten in their last five games across all competitions. In domestic play, Diego Simeone's men have been characteristically tough to beat; after an early-season hiccup, they have put together a streak of results. Notably, Atlético delivered a statement 5-2 victory over Real Madrid in late September, underlining their attacking potential when everything clicks.

Osasuna's season so far has been a bit inconsistent. They are mid-table (around 12th place) with a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Goals have been relatively scarce for Osasuna (7 scored in 8 games), but they've managed to eke out results when needed. Right before the break, Osasuna earned a morale-boosting 2-1 home win over Getafe, in which they showed character by coming from behind. That victory halted a rough patch and kept them in touch with the top half. However, one glaring issue for Osasuna has been their away form: they have played four away league matches this season and lost every single one.

Traveling has not been kind to them – they've struggled to score on the road and have leaked goals at bad moments. The last time Osasuna won away in La Liga was back in the spring. Given that track record, a trip to Atlético Madrid's fortress is a daunting prospect. It's also worth recalling that in the tail end of last season, Osasuna actually beat Atlético 2-0 (in Pamplona), so Atlético will be on guard to avoid any complacency. Overall, Osasuna will need a significant uptick in their away performance if they hope to take something from this match.

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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
13 8 3 4 1 5
12
Osasuna
Osasuna
10 8 3 1 4 -1

Atletico Madrid and Osasuna Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
D W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
5 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
5 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  1
Elche
W L D L D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 21, 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 30, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Newcastle
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna Latest matches
W W L D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Getafe

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  0
Osasuna

Sep 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Elche

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Osasuna

Sep 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Osasuna
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Getafe

Sep 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Elche

Sep 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Aug 24, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Valencia

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Osasuna
3 :  0
Mirandés

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Osasuna
0 :  1
Racing Santander
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  0
Osasuna

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  1
Osasuna

Sep 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Osasuna

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  0
Osasuna

Aug 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
4 :  1
Osasuna

Atletico Madrid against Osasuna : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

67 %

Draw

0 %

Osasuna

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
17%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

May 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Jan 12, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Osasuna

May 19, 2024 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  4
Osasuna

Sep 28, 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

May 21, 2023 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Osasuna

Jan 29, 2023 - LaLiga

Osasuna
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Osasuna v Atletico Madrid last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
24
R. Le Normand
15
C. Lenglet
17
D. Hancko
20
G. Simeone
8
B. Pablo
6
Koke
23
N. Gonzalez
7
A. Griezmann
19
J. Alvarez
21
V. Munoz
17
A. Budimir
23
A. Bretones
16
M. Gomez
6
L. Torro
7
J. Moncayola
19
V. Rosier
3
J. Cruz
24
A. Catena
22
F. Boyomo
1
S. Herrera

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Osasuna

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Midfielder

J. Cardoso

Osasuna
Osasuna
Defender

J. Cruz

Forward

A. Oroz

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Osasuna
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Croatia A. Budimir (2 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina J. Alvarez (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain J. Moncayola (1 Assists)
France V. Rosier (1 Assists)
Spain V. Munoz (1 Assists)
Spain R. Garcia (1 Assists)
Spain A. Catena (1 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Osasuna Stats in LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
Osasuna
38%
Victories
38%
50%
Draw
13%
13%
Defeats
50%
3.13
Total goals per match
1.88
1.88
Goals scored per match
0.88
1.25
Goals conceded per match
1
38%
Over 2.5
25%
63%
Under 2.5
75%
88%
BTTS
38%
13%
No goals conceded
25%

Atletico Madrid - Osasuna Key Points

  1. Atletico Madrid are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Osasuna are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Atletico Madrid's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 2-3 in Osasuna's last 5 games
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Our Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction

Atlético Madrid's charge is being led by a potent attack, spearheaded by Julián Álvarez. The Argentine forward (signed from Manchester City) has been a revelation, already scoring 6 league goals, which puts him among La Liga's top scorers at this stage. Álvarez's movement and finishing make him Atlético's most dangerous weapon, and he's shown a knack for scoring in important moments – expect him to be heavily involved in any attacking moves.

For Osasuna, their key man up front is Ante Budimir. The Croatian striker scored the winning goal in their last match against Getafe, and he leads the team with a couple of goals this season. Budimir is a classic target man – strong in the air and good at holding up play. He will try to trouble Atlético's defense on set pieces or crosses, and if Osasuna manage to create any clear chances, Budimir is the one they'll fall to. Supporting him, winger Moi Gómez offers some creativity and has an eye for a pass; Osasuna will need him to provide quality service from the flanks.

Considering Atlético's strong form and Osasuna's travel sickness, this match tilts clearly in Atlético Madrid's favor. Osasuna may keep it tight in the first half, but Atlético's relentless pressure and superior quality should eventually break them down, allowing the hosts to claim all three points without too much drama. Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-115
$300 offered for betting!

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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Picks
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