Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag FK Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
10/22/25 12:45
Qarabag FK

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

+132
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 by Erik Gibbs in Champions League Picks

Athletic Bilbao enter this Wednesday's match against Qarabağ FK well-placed for European competition but have struggled for consistency. In La Liga, they sit around mid-table, having won 4, drawn 1, and lost 3 of their opening 8 games. Recent matches include a hard-fought 1-1 draw at home to Celta Vigo and a 3-2 away loss to Girona. Their only win in the last six outings was a 2-1 victory over Mallorca, but they also suffered heavy defeats: 4-1 at home to Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League and 2-0 away to Valencia. In those six games, Athletic scored just 4 goals while conceding 11, illustrating trouble both creating and preventing goals. On the other hand, Qarabağ FK have enjoyed an excellent start to the season.

Domestically, they sit near the top of the Azerbaijan Premier League, and in Europe, they are unbeaten. Qarabağ have won their first two group matches – most notably a 3-2 win in Lisbon over Benfica and a 2-0 home victory against Copenhagen. In those games, they scored 5 goals and conceded only 2, showing an effective attack and a solid defense. Contrast the two clubs: Athletic's recent form is uneven with losses accumulating, whereas Qarabağ carry strong momentum from back-to-back wins. In head-to-head history, this is their first meeting, so form and confidence will matter more than rivalry.

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Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag FK Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK
6 2 2 0 0 3
35
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
0 2 0 0 2 -5

Athletic Bilbao and Qarabag FK Latest Matches

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Latest matches
L D L L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Mallorca

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Girona

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
W L L L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Mallorca

Sep 23, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Girona

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Arsenal

Sep 13, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Alavés

Sep 4, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  1
Osasuna

Aug 25, 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
0 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Villarreal
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Sep 20, 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

Aug 9, 2025 - Emirates Cup

Arsenal
3 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Turan Tovuz
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Oct 4, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
1 :  0
Kapaz

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

Sep 26, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
2 :  0
Gabala

Sep 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Araz Nakhchivan
0 :  5
Qarabag FK

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  3
Qarabag FK
L L D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
1 :  0
Kapaz

Oct 1, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  0
FC Copenhagen

Sep 26, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
2 :  0
Gabala

Sep 12, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
1 :  1
Zira FK

Aug 27, 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  3
Ferencvarosi Budapest

Aug 22, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Qarabag FK
0 :  1
Sumgayit
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Turan Tovuz
1 :  2
Qarabag FK

Sep 21, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Araz Nakhchivan
0 :  5
Qarabag FK

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  3
Qarabag FK

Aug 31, 2025 - Topaz Premier League

Karvan Yevlakh
0 :  2
Qarabag FK

Aug 19, 2025 - Champions League

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  3
Qarabag FK

Aug 5, 2025 - Champions League

Shkendija
0 :  1
Qarabag FK
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Qarabag FK v Athletic Bilbao last Lineups

Athletic Bilbao

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
U. Simon
12
J. Areso
3
D. Vivian
14
A. Laporte
17
Y. Berchiche
16
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
18
M. Jauregizar
7
A. Berenguer
8
O. Sancet
23
R. Navarro
11
G. Guruzeta
17
C. Duran
21
O. Kashchuk
15
L. Andrade
10
A. Zoubir
20
Kady
35
P. Bicalho
44
E. Cafarquliyev
81
K. Medina
13
B. Mustafazada
2
M. Silva
99
M. Kochalski

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Qarabag FK

Missing players

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

U. Egiluz

Midfielder

B. Prados

Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
CD Huachipato Qarabag FK
Top Goalscorer
Spain M. Jauregizar (1 Goals)
Spain A. Paredes (1 Goals)
Spain O. Sancet (1 Goals)
Spain M. Sannadi (1 Goals)
Spain N. Williams (1 Goals)
Spain R. Navarro (1 Goals)
Spain A. Rego Mora (1 Goals)
Ghana I. Williams (1 Goals)
Spain G. Guruzeta (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana E. Addai (1 Goals) France A. Zoubir (1 Goals) Colombia C. Duran (1 Goals) L. Andrade (1 Goals) Ukraine O. Kashchuk (1 Goals)
Best assists
Spain N. Williams (2 Assists)
Best assists
Colombia C. Duran (1 Assists)
France A. Zoubir (1 Assists)
Montenegro M. Jankovic (1 Assists)

Athletic Bilbao and Qarabag FK Stats in Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Qarabag FK
Qarabag FK
0%
Victories
88%
0%
Draw
0%
100%
Defeats
13%
3.5
Total goals per match
3.38
0.5
Goals scored per match
2.5
3
Goals conceded per match
0.88
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Under 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%

Athletic Bilbao - Qarabag FK Key Points

  1. Athletic Bilbao are 0-2 ATS in their last 2 games
  2. Qarabağ are 2-0 ATS in their last 2 games
  3. The Over is 1-1 in Athletic Bilbao's last 2 games
  4. The Over is 1-1 in Qarabağ's last 2 games
Up to $300 to bet on Athletic Bilbao - Qarabag FK! 

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Our Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag FK Prediction

Athletic Bilbao's chances will likely depend on their creative playmakers. Midfielders like Oihan Sancet (the club's usual top scorer) and winger Iñaki Williams often carry their attack. However, both have seen limited success against tough opponents recently, and the team has lacked cohesion up front. Defensively, captain Iker Muniain and center-back Aymeric Laporte must rally a leaky back line.

For Qarabağ, the form players are more decisive. The Azerbaijani side's attacking threats have included forward Camilo Durán and striker Oleksiy Kashchuk, who both scored in the 3-2 win over Benfica. Midfielder Edgar Silva (Toral Bayramov) has also been influential, contributing goals and assists in Europe and domestically. Given Qarabağ's confidence and Athletic's struggles to score, Qarabağ may hold a slight edge. Athletic will rely on home support and defensive grit to stay in the game. A draw or a narrow win for Qarabağ looks likely: perhaps a 1-1 stalemate or a 2-1 victory for the visitors if Athletic fails to break through. Our prediction for Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabağ FK: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

+132
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Athletic Bilbao vs Qarabag FK Picks