Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Atalanta
10/19/25 12:00
Lazio

Prediction:

 

Half-time/Full-time: Atalanta/Atalanta

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 by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Atalanta take on Lazio this Sunday, and Atalanta have been solid in Serie A, even qualifying for the Champions League this season. In the league they have collected several wins, though also a few draws. Recent Serie A results include wins at Torino (3-0) and Lecce (4-1), balanced by 1-1 draws away at Como and Parma. Atalanta's only domestic losses so far came to stronger teams (no league loss yet aside from tight games).

Overall, they sit around the top quarter of the table and have been in UEFA competition with a recent win in Champions League play against Club Brugge. Their form is on the upswing. Lazio have been inconsistent. They won convincingly at Genoa (3-0 on September 29) and at Verona (4-0 on August 31), but have dropped points by losing to Roma and Sassuolo and only scraping a draw with Torino.

Lazio have alternated good wins with puzzling defeats. Their midfield has often scored (Danilo Cataldi's penalty in a 3-3 draw with Torino on October 4), but defensive lapses cost them two straight home losses to Roma and Sassuolo. In recent form, Atalanta seems steadier with fewer lapses than Lazio's up-and-down results. Atalanta's league position (6th) outpaces Lazio (13th) at this stage, suggesting an edge in consistency.

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Atalanta vs Lazio Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Lazio
Lazio
18 13 5 3 5 5
12
Atalanta
Atalanta
16 14 3 7 4 0

Atalanta and Lazio Latest Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
W L W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Club Brugge

Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  3
Atalanta

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce
D L D W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Como 1907

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Club Brugge

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Pisa SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  2
Juventus

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
3 :  3
Opatija
W L D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  3
Atalanta

Sep 17, 2025 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  0
Atalanta

Aug 30, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Atalanta

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
4 :  0
Atalanta

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leipzig
1 :  2
Atalanta
Lazio
Lazio Latest matches
L W L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Torino FC

Sep 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lazio

Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
4 :  0
Hellas Verona

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Lazio
L W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  3
Torino FC

Sep 21, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

Aug 31, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
4 :  0
Hellas Verona

Aug 16, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
2 :  0
Atromitos Athinon

Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lazio
1 :  0
Avellino

May 25, 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce
L D W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 29, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  0
Lazio

Aug 24, 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Lazio

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Lazio

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Galatasaray
2 :  2
Lazio

Jul 30, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  0
Lazio

Atalanta against Lazio : Head to Head (H2H)

Atalanta

33 %

Draw

17 %

Lazio

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Lazio

Dec 28, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 4, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  1
Lazio

Oct 8, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 11, 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Oct 23, 2022 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Lazio

Atalanta against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

29
M. Carnesecchi
19
B. Djimsiti
4
I. Hien
69
H. Ahanor
77
D. Zappacosta
8
M. Pasalic
13
Ederson
47
L. Bernasconi
17
C. De Ketelaere
7
K. Sulemana
11
A. Lookman
10
M. Zaccagni
19
B. Dia
22
M. Cancellieri
26
T. Basic
32
D. Cataldi
8
M. Guendouzi
17
N. Tavares
13
A. Romagnoli
34
M. Gila
77
A. Marusic
94
I. Provedel

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lazio

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

M. Bakker

R. Bellanova

S. Kolasinac

O. Kossounou

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

S. Gigot

L. Pellegrini

F. Bordon

Midfielder

N. Rovella

F. Dele-Bashiru

Forward

T. Castellanos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Lazio
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria A. Lookman (3 Goals)
Serbia L. Samardzic (3 Goals)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (3 Goals)
Italy G. Scamacca (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Cancellieri (3 Goals) Italy M. Zaccagni (3 Goals)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)

Atalanta - Lazio Key Points

  1. Atalanta are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. Lazio are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-3 in Atalanta's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 3-2 in Lazio's last 5 games
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Our Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction

Atalanta's offense is led by young striker Nikola Krstovic and playmaker Charles De Ketelaere, both of whom have contributed several goals. Krstovic is doing much of the scoring, with De Ketelaere pulling strings and scoring as well. Winger Kamaldeen Sulemana has chipped in with goals and creates chances, and midfielder Mario Pasalic often adds assists. These attacking talents make Atalanta dangerous on transitions.

Lazio's key attackers include forward Matteo Cancellieri, who has netted goals in recent weeks, and Valentin Castellanos, who has combined scoring with playmaking (he leads the team in assists). Mattia Zaccagni (though he has also moved on) had been another source, but Lazio's main threats now are the returning Pedro (if fit) and Cataldi from midfield. Overall, Atalanta's combination of emerging talents and strong form suggests they are the stronger side. Atalanta will rely on Krstovic and De Ketelaere to break down Lazio's defense. Lazio can't be underestimated at home or in the midfield battle, but their recent inconsistency means they are likely vulnerable.

Given current form and player impact, Atalanta would be favored to continue their momentum and win, while Lazio would need to improve defensively. The prediction is a victory for Atalanta by a narrow margin, largely on account of their superior attacking form and steadier results. Our prediction for Atalanta vs Lazio: Atalanta controls both halves.

Prediction:

 

Half-time/Full-time: Atalanta/Atalanta

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Atalanta vs Lazio Picks