Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Tottenham
10/19/25 09:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Pape Matar Sarr to be Booked

+290
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

The English Premier League returns this weekend, and after seven games take place on Saturday, fans will be treated to two games on Sunday, the first of which sees Tottenham and Aston Villa clash in North London, where the hosts will be looking to build on their pre-international-break win against Leeds. Thomas Frank's men have been in decent form overall, avoiding defeat in each of their last seven games in all competitions, winning four of those. 

Unai Emery's men also approach Sunday's game in decent shape having won each of their last four in all competitions, picking up EPL wins against both Fulham and Burnley, scoring five goals in the process. After what was clearly a very poor start to the campaign, with those recent positive results under the belt, they'll be looking to kick on, but is the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium the place to do that? 

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Tottenham vs Aston Villa Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
30 15 9 3 3 7
10
Tottenham
Tottenham
22 15 6 4 5 7

Tottenham and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Tottenham
Tottenham Latest matches
W D W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
2 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Wolves

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham
3 :  0
Doncaster

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Villarreal
D W L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  1
Wolves

Sep 24, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Tottenham
3 :  0
Doncaster

Sep 16, 2025 - Champions League

Tottenham
1 :  0
Villarreal

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Bournemouth

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

Aug 3, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Tottenham
1 :  1
Newcastle
D W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
2 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Tottenham

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Tottenham

Aug 13, 2025 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  2
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 25, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Bologna

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 28, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Fulham

Sep 25, 2025 - Europa League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Bologna

Aug 31, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  3
Crystal Palace

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 6, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Roma
W L D D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Brentford
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Villarreal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Tottenham against Aston Villa : Head to Head (H2H)

Tottenham

33 %

Draw

0 %

Aston Villa

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

May 16, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
Tottenham

Feb 9, 2025 - FA Cup

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Tottenham

Nov 3, 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
4 :  1
Aston Villa

Mar 10, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  4
Tottenham

Nov 26, 2023 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
Aston Villa

May 13, 2023 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Tottenham

Tottenham against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Tottenham

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
G. Vicario
23
P. Porro
4
K. Danso
37
M. Van de Ven
24
D. Spence
30
R. Bentancur
6
J. Palhinha
20
M. Kudus
7
X. Simons
28
W. Odobert
11
M. Tel
17
D. Malen
7
J. McGinn
27
M. Rogers
29
E. Guessand
44
B. Kamara
24
A. Onana
12
L. Digne
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Missing players

Tottenham
Tottenham
Defender

R. Dragusin

K. Takai

D. Udogie

B. Davies

C. Romero

Midfielder

D. Kulusevski

J. Maddison

Y. Bissouma

Forward

D. Solanke

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

Y. Tielemans

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tottenham
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Richarlison (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (7 Goals)
Best assists
Ghana M. Kudus (5 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Rogers (5 Assists)

Tottenham - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Only one Spurs player has made more EPL fouls than Pape Matar Sarr this season.
  2. Per 90 minutes, Pape Matar Sarr is Spurs' most prolific fouler in the EPL this term.
  3. Pape Matar Sarr currently averages 2.61 fouls per 90 minutes.
  4. Last season Pape Matar Sarr averaged 0.29 cards per 90 minutes in the EPL.
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Our Tottenham vs Aston Villa Prediction

Pape Matar Sarr is not currently among the absolutel favorites to pick up a card on Sunday, but I really do think that he should be. After all, the Senegalese midfielder has made the second highest number of fouls for Spurs this season, fouling more time per 90 minutes than any other Tottenham player. This isn't being reflected accurately enough by the early market, so betting on the 23-year-old to get booked offers some value for money as far as I'm concerned. Our Tottenham vs Aston Villa Pick: Pape Matar Sarr to be Booked. 

Prediction:

 

Pape Matar Sarr to be Booked

+290
$150 offered for betting!

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