Europe - Europa League
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by Erik Gibbs in Europa League Picks
The Merkur Arena is set to host a pivotal Europa League clash as Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade meet in a fixture this Thursday that carries significant weight for both sides' European aspirations. The Austrian side has endured a tough European campaign, with a record of just one win, one draw, and three losses across their five league phase matches, leaving them on the periphery of the qualification spots. Yet, a closer look reveals a team that is far from demoralized. Their two most recent defeats have been by narrow one-goal margins, suggesting they are remaining competitive against higher-calibre opponents.
Crucially, Sturm Graz transforms into a formidable opponent at home, boasting an impressive five-game unbeaten run in European competition (W4, D1) while keeping three clean sheets. Their confidence remains buoyed by a respectable domestic run, winning two of their last three league outings. Red Star Belgrade, meanwhile, arrives in Austria chasing a historic third successive European victory, having recently secured vital 1-0 wins over Lille and FCSB.
However, their away form is an Achilles' heel that could derail their ambitions. The Serbian giants have been dreadful on the road in the group stage, losing 11 of their last 12 away fixtures and consistently conceding two or more goals in those defeats, a trend that must be reversed if they are to make a deep run in the tournament.
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Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
|
28
|
4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 23, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Dec 3, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League
Oct 26, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 30, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 2, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2025 - ÖFB Cup
Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League
Oct 19, 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Dec 4, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 30, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 23, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 19, 2025 - Serbia Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Dec 7, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Dec 4, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League
Nov 2, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Oct 19, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Nov 30, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 23, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Nov 19, 2025 - Serbia Cup
Nov 9, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Oct 30, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Oct 26, 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Red Star Belgrade v Sturm Graz last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Red Star Belgrade
O. Kiteishvili
(9 Goals)
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
T. Horvat
(5 Assists)
S. Young-woo
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Veljkovic
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Tebo
(1 Assists)
Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade Stats in Europa League
Sturm Graz - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- The Over is 2-3 in Sturm Graz's last 5 games
- The Over is 1-4 in Red Star's last 5 games
- Sturm Graz are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- Red Star are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
For Sturm Graz, midfielder Tomi Horvat has been instrumental, having either scored or assisted in all but one of their home European fixtures this season. His ability to create the opening goal in their last two domestic matches shows he is carrying excellent current form into this match.
In terms of fitness and availability, Sturm Graz is currently navigating a minor injury crisis, with key defender Dimitri Lavalée missing the last two games, and Jeyland Mitchell, Filip Rózga, and Leon Grgić all picking up knocks in their weekend fixture. Red Star has its own issues, notably the suspension of defender Franklin Tebo Uchenna and a significant injury to star striker Marko Arnautović.
Red Star's threat often comes from forward Bruno Duarte, who has accumulated three assists in the visitors’ last three away games, including scoring the decisive goal in their Matchday 5 win. These two players represent the attacking focal points for their respective clubs and will be central to any success.
Considering Sturm Graz’s formidable home record and Red Star’s alarming tendency to struggle and concede multiple goals on the road, a generic betting preview would suggest that Sturm Graz has the upper hand to either win outright or at least secure a positive result. Red Star's away woes are simply too prominent to ignore, giving the home side a significant psychological advantage. Our prediction for Sturm Graz vs. Red Star Belgrade: Under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
