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by Bill Christy in NHL Picks
The beginning of December will begin the same as November for both teams. The Ottawa Senators (12-9-4) will head into to the Bell Centre to take on the Montreal Canadiens (13-8-3) on Tuesday. The two teams faced off at the start of November, where the Canadiens picked up a 4-3 victory.
Since that loss, the Senators went .500 for the rest of the month, but most recently lost their last 2 games to St. Louis and Dallas. They allowed a total of 10 goals over those 2 losses, and that has been their issue all season. The Senators rank 23rd in total goals allowed, which has kept this team from reaching their full potential. Things will not be any easier here on the road against a Canadiens team that has been hot.
Montreal did suffer a rough 5-game losing streak during the middle of last mont,h but turned things around by winning 3 of their last 4 games. They are coming off a blowout 7-2 loss to Colorado, but the Avalanche are looking to be the best team in the league. The Canadiens are still top in the league in shooting percentage and 8th in total goals scored.
Ottawa will need to stay out of the box in this rematch to have a shot at defeating the Canadiens here on the road. Ottawa ranks near the bottom of the league in penalty kills, and a power play goal was the difference in their last meeting.
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Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
29 | 24 | 13 | 11 | -5 |
|
10
|
28 | 25 | 12 | 13 | -5 |
Ottawa Senators and Montreal Canadiens Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 30, 2025 - NHL
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 29, 2025 - NHL
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Oct 28, 2025 - NHL
Ottawa Senators against Montreal Canadiens : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
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Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens Key Points
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa’s last 6 games when playing as the underdog.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montreal’s last 7 games when playing as the favorite.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Montreal’s last 8 games at home.
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Our Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction
The teams combined for 7 goals in their last meeting and we expect similar scoring results in the rematch. These teams have combined to allow a total of 18 goals over their last 4 total games. With Dobes being in net for Montreal, we would have some pause but his confidence cannot be high after allowing 7 goals in his last starts. We like each team to light the lamp enough in this one to get us over the total.
Our prediction for Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators: Over 5.5
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