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by Dan Angell | in NFL Picks
The Miami Dolphins visit the Atlanta Falcons looking to recover from getting embarrassed at Cleveland. The Dolphins weren’t competitive in the slightest against the Browns, and that’s the first time since Week 1 anyone has been able to say that about Miami.
The Dolphins’ biggest problem has been that they cannot rely on the defense at all. When Miami is able to score, it gives itself a chance to win. When the Dolphins aren’t moving the ball, things get ugly in a hurry. At no point has Miami held an opponent to under 21 points in 2025, even against the terrible New York Jets offense. If the Fish can’t stop the Jets, the Falcons have to be salivating at their chances for a big day on offense.
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Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
22
|
0.333 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
|
25
|
0.3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Miami Dolphins and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 29, 2025 - NFL
Sep 18, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 12, 2025 - NFL
Sep 29, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Dec 22, 2024 - NFL
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Nov 24, 2024 - NFL
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 18, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 5, 2025 - NFL
Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Oct 13, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 13, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 5, 2025 - NFL
Dec 22, 2024 - NFL
Dec 1, 2024 - NFL
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
Dec 16, 2024 - NFL
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Miami Dolphins - Atlanta Falcons Key Points
- The Falcons’ spread result and game result have matched in eight straight games.
- The Dolphins are 3-3 ATS in their past six games.
- The under is 4-2 in the Falcons’ past six games.
- The over is 6-0 in the Dolphins’ past six games.
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Our Miami Dolphins vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
The fact that Cleveland cashed the over on its own last week says that Miami is allowing opponents to do whatever they want with the ball. And with Atlanta featuring Bijan Robinson in the backfield, that’s a dream matchup for the hosts. The Falcons rank fourth in the NFL in moving the football on the ground, while the Dolphins are dead last in stopping the run.
Atlanta has plenty of ways to hurt its opponents; its problems have been both week-to-week consistency and playing away from home. Given that they’re coming off a meek showing against the 49ers last week, neither of those are likely to be problems this time around. The Falcons tend not to play two poor games in a row, and they have the right opponent in the right location. Our prediction for Miami vs. Atlanta is Falcons -6.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
