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by Bill Christy in NFL Picks
The top team in the AFC South will look to stay there this Sunday. The Indianapolis Colts (8-3) are that team and will be taking on the Houston Texans (6-5) in a divisional matchup. This will be the 1st of two meetings between the foes this season.
The Colts are coming off a rough 23-20 overtime loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last week. The loss was their 2nd in the last 3 games and may be showing some cracks in a team that many were touting as the favorites to win the AFC just a few short weeks ago. Jonathan Taylor was held to just 58 rushing yards in the loss, while no receiver surpassed 50 yards receiving. The defense allowed nearly 500 total yards, and while they held tight in the red zone, it was not enough to get the win.
Houston has won 3 games in a row after defeating the Bills last week. Davis Mills has been tremendous in replacing the injured CJ Stroud. He has thrown 5 touchdowns and just 1 interception over that 3-game winning streak. However, the defense was key in the last win as they held Josh Allen to just under 200 yards passing and picked him off twice.
If the Houston defense can replicate the efforts from last week, they could push this Colts team to the limit here on the road.
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Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.727 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
|
14
|
0.545 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NFL
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 20, 2025 - NFL
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 16, 2025 - NFL
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Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
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Jan 18, 2025 - NFL
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
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Nov 2, 2025 - NFL
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Nov 9, 2025 - NFL
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 23, 2025 - NFL
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Oct 19, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
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Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
Houston Texans against Indianapolis Colts : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Oct 27, 2024 - NFL
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Jan 6, 2024 - NFL
Sep 17, 2023 - NFL
Dec 20, 2020 - NFL
Jan 5, 2019 - NFL
Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts Key Points
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston’s last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston’s last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis’ last 10 games against Houston.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indianapolis’ last 16 games when playing at home against Houston.
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Our Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction
While the spread does indicate to us that Houston could be the play, it also tells us that the total is likely going to the under. The Texans will not be able to keep the game close if they are planning on trying to keep pace with the Colts offense. Instead, we believe they will keep this one close by keeping the total under the number.
Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans: Under 44.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
