Burnley vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
10/18/25 10:00
Leeds

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

One of the five games due to kick off at 10:00 EST on Saturday is the one at Turf Moor, where two of the newly promoted trio will lock horns. It's Burnley vs Leeds. This quite simply goes down as a massive game for both teams. If either side is to beat the drop this season, then winning games of this nature, against direct relegation rivals, is key. If either team can emerge victorious from this, it will be a huge three points. 

Prior to the international break, we saw the Clarets lose to Aston Villa, but their defeat was only marginal, with Scott Parker's men delivering some clear positives. Can they build on those positives against a mistake-prone Leeds team that looks very weak at the back? Time will soon tell. 

Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Leeds! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Burnley vs Leeds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16
Leeds
Leeds
15 15 4 3 8 -10
19
Burnley
Burnley
10 15 3 1 11 -14

Burnley and Leeds Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L D L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley
L W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
2 :  1
Derby County

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Sunderland

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Lazio
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley

Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  0
Burnley

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Burnley

Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
3 :  2
Burnley
Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
D D L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds
D D W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 18, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal
W D L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  0
Leeds

May 3, 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  2
Leeds

Burnley against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

17 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

Jan 27, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

Sep 14, 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

Jan 2, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

Aug 29, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Leeds

May 15, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  4
Leeds

Dec 27, 2020 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Burnley

Burnley against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
8
L. Ugochukwu
6
A. Tuanzebe
5
M. Esteve
3
Q. Hartman
7
J. Bruun Larsen
24
J. Cullen
16
F. Luis
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
20
J. Harrison
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
11
B. Aaronson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
3
G. Gudmundsson
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
26
K. Darlow

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leeds

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

L. Foster

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

G. Wilfried

H. Gray

N. Okafor

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (4 Goals) Germany L. Nmecha (4 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)
Best assists
Germany A. Stach (2 Assists)
USA B. Aaronson (2 Assists)
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
England J. Bogle (2 Assists)

Burnley - Leeds Key Points

  1. Both teams scored and conceded in their final game before the international break.
  2. In all competitions. both teams have scored in six of Burnley's last seven.
  3. In nine games in all competitions this season, the hosts have kept just one clean sheet.
  4. The visitors have kept only two clean sheets in eight (in all competitions) this term.
Up to $150 to bet on Burnley - Leeds! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Burnley vs Leeds Prediction

For my money, the early market is underestimating the chance of both teams notching here. In other words, odds of -105 offer some value for money. Let's face it, both teams will fancy themselves to do damage at Turf Moor, with both clearly lining this up ass a game to attack.

Neither side has defended well of late, while both are starting to make a habit of getting the ball in the net, and I simply don't believe that early odds of -105 are an accurate enough reflection of that. Take the early value. Our Burnley vs Leeds Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
$150 offered for betting!

Grab an extra $150 for your Burnley vs Leeds wager!

Bet $5, Get $150

Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer, available for use on the Burnley vs Leeds matchup!

A minimum bet of $5 will qualify for $150 in bonus bets if your bet wins! This offer is a golden opportunity for new users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!

$150 available for Burnley vs Leeds

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Leeds Picks