Benfica Lisbon vs Napoli Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
12/10/25 15:00
Napoli

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-132
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 by Carlos Zabala in Champions League Picks

Mourinho's Benfica earned their first Champions League point on the last matchday, defeating Ajax 2-0 in the Netherlands. However, having lost their previous four matches, the Eagles must win their next three games to have any hope of qualifying; the first of these will be at the Estádio da Luz on Wednesday when they host current Serie A leaders Napoli.

Pre-match odds favor Benfica, as Napoli are missing several key players due to injuries, including Zambo Anguissa, De Bruyne, and Lukaku.

Nevertheless, manager Antonio Conte, faced with these injuries, has implemented a change in formation that, so far, has paid off for the Neapolitan side. They have won four of their last five matches, with the other being a draw in which they secured a penalty shootout victory against Cagliari in the Coppa Italia.

In the Champions League, Napoli struggled more than expected against the modest Qarabag on the last matchday; After Hojlund missed a penalty, Scot McTominay broke the deadlock against the Kazakh side. Napoli ultimately won 2-0.

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Benfica Lisbon vs Napoli Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
20
Napoli
Napoli
7 5 2 1 2 -3
30
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
3 5 1 0 4 -4

Benfica Lisbon and Napoli Latest Matches

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Latest matches
L D W W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 21, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Atletico Clube De Portugal
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 9, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 5, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Nov 9, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Casa Pia Lisbon

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

Oct 29, 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Tondela

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
5 :  0
Arouca

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 21, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Atletico Clube De Portugal
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  3
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
3 :  0
Benfica Lisbon

Oct 17, 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Chaves
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
Napoli
Napoli Latest matches
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Juventus

Dec 3, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  1
Cagliari

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  0
Qarabag FK

Nov 22, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

Nov 1, 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Como 1907
L L L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli

Nov 9, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Napoli

Oct 28, 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

Oct 21, 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
6 :  2
Napoli

Oct 18, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  0
Napoli

Sep 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

Benfica Lisbon against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

Benfica Lisbon

0 %

Draw

0 %

Napoli

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2016 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  2
Napoli

Sep 28, 2016 - Champions League

Napoli
4 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

Napoli v Benfica Lisbon last Lineups

Benfica Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Trubin
17
A. Dedic
4
A. Silva
30
N. Otamendi
26
S. Dahl
5
E. Barrenechea
20
R. Rios
8
F. Aursnes
18
L. Barreiro
10
G. Sudakov
14
V. Pavlidis
70
N. Lang
19
R. Hojlund
7
D. Neres
17
M. Olivera
8
S. Mctominay
20
E. Elmas
22
G. Di Lorenzo
4
A. Buongiorno
13
A. Rrahmani
31
S. Beukema
32
V. Milinkovic-Savic

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Defender

A. Bah

Forward

H. Araujo

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

A. Meret

Defender

M. Gutierrez

Midfielder

K. De Bruyne

B. Gilmour

F. Anguissa

S. Lobotka

Forward

R. Lukaku

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benfica Lisbon
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Greece V. Pavlidis (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (6 Goals)
Best assists
Bosnia and Herzegovina A. Dedic (3 Assists)
Belgium D. Lukebakio (3 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil D. Neres (4 Assists)

Benfica Lisbon and Napoli Stats in Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
Napoli
Napoli
44%
Victories
40%
11%
Draw
20%
44%
Defeats
40%
1.89
Total goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
1.2
0.89
Goals conceded per match
1.8
22%
Over 2.5
40%
78%
Under 2.5
60%
11%
BTTS
40%
56%
No goals conceded
40%

Benfica Lisbon - Napoli Key Points

  1. Benfica is currently third in the Portuguese league
  2. Napoli leads the series 3-1 against Benfica
  3. Napoli reduced Benfica's xG to 0.29 in their last victory against Juventus
  4. Napoli had 9 corner kicks and conceded none in their last league match
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Our Benfica Lisbon vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli finally achieved the feat of going a full calendar year unbeaten at home, but Conte's team's away form often falters, especially on Champions League nights. In their two away matches, Napoli offered little resistance; they lost 2-0 to Manchester City at the Etihad and 6-2 to PSV in the Netherlands.

It will certainly be a heated clash between the teams of Mourinho and Conte, two managers with Premier League experience between whom there is apparently still some discord. Benfica drew 1-1 against Sporting CP at the weekend in the Portuguese league.

Our prediction for Napoli vs Benfica is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Less than 2.5 goals

-132
$150 offered for betting!

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Benfica Lisbon vs Napoli Picks