Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
The postponement of Mara Sugar’s away match at Posta Rangers has cleared the way for a home game against AFC Leopards. The two sides meet in the eighth round of the Kenyan Premier League. Let’s have a look at the prediction.
Mara have so far failed to add on to their matchday four win away to Ulinzi Stars. They will, however, look at their past four matches differently, having not lost any.
A 0-0 outcome against Bandari last time out means they are just a point above the relegation region. The hosts will be targeting a first home win here as well as avoiding a third straight winless outing against Leopards.
AFC Leopards, on the other hand, are unbeaten so far this season, with three wins and as many draws. The visitors were slow starters to the season, drawing the first three games, but are now on three straight wins.
They beat Mathare United 2-0 in their latest outing, in the process also keeping a third clean sheet in the six games.
With a game against archrivals Gor Mahia coming one match after the international break, Leopards will be keen on keeping this momentum. Fred Ambani’s side is now third in the standings, separated from league leaders Homeboyz by just two points.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mara Sugar FC v Leopards SC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.16 | 2.45 | 2.72 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Mara Sugar FC and Leopards SC?
Our prediction for the Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC match is: Leopards to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Mara Sugar FC and Leopards SC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 7.75% for a win of Mara Sugar FC against Leopards SC with odds of 3.16 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC is 60.19% with odds of 2.45 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Leopards SC vs Mara Sugar FC with odds of 2.72 at LSbet.
Mara Sugar FC - Leopards SC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mara Sugar FC Leopards SC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 60.19% | 2.45 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 67.65% | |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 31.99% | 2.25 at Betfair |
Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC Form
Mara Sugar FC and Leopards SC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
|
10
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Mara Sugar FC and Leopards SC Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Mara Sugar FC - Leopards SC Key Points
- Mara Sugar are winless in the last three matches.
- Mara Sugar have managed just one win all season.
- AFC Leopards haven't suffered defeat so far this season.
- AFC Leopards are on three straight wins heading here.
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Our Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC Prediction
AFC Leopards have never lost to Mara Sugar before. In their two meetings last year, Leopards collected four points from this fixture. They will be gunning for the same here. Having kept three clean sheets in the six matches so far, the visitors will be charged for this.
The promise that this match holds is such that a win could lift them to the league summit. Mara haven't lost in four but have also failed to win in the last three. We feel this could be a tough one for them. Our prediction for Mara Sugar v AFC Leopards is: Leopards to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mara Sugar FC Leopards SC
| Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar FC wins | 2.8 | 3.16 | +12.9% |
| Draw | 2.8 | 2.45 | -12.5% |
| Leopards SC wins | 2.5 | 2.72 | +8.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 40.8% (5.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Mara Sugar FC vs. Leopards SC game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Mara Sugar FC and Leopards SC when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Kenyan Premier League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
