Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Conference League Predictions
Mainz will hope for a new manager bounce as they aim to confirm play-off spots in the league phase of the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League when they travel to face Lech Poznan on matchday five. This match on Thursday in Poznan between the 16th-placed ‘Railwayman’ and the fifth-placed ‘Die Nullfunfer’ comes with our prediction of both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.
With six points (W2, L2), Lech are just inside the top 16 and holding on to a playoff berth. Mainz’s nine points (W3, L1) put them just one point behind the top two teams.
Lech drew 2-2 away from home at the weekend in the domestic league to extend their unbeaten run to five matches (W3, D2). They have been equally strong at home, winning and drawing three matches each in their last six games.
Both their wins in the league phase of this competition this season came at home, while the two defeats have been by a single-goal margin away from home.
Mainz lost 1-0 at home to Monchengladbach at the weekend in the Bundesliga to make it three defeats in a row in all competitions. Going further back, the visitors have just one win from their last nine matches (D2, L6) as well as five away defeats in a row.
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The Best Betting Odds for KKS Lech Poznan v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
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2.88 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.33 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between KKS Lech Poznan and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: BTTS and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between KKS Lech Poznan and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.33% for a win of KKS Lech Poznan against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.97 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 28.29% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.38% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 2.38 at Stake.
KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
KKS Lech Poznan and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Conference League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|
16
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
KKS Lech Poznan and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3 Dec 2025 - Polish Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
9 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
19 Oct 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3 Dec 2025 - Polish Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
9 Nov 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
30 Oct 2025 - Polish Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Most goals and assists
KKS Lech Poznan
1 Fsv Mainz 05
M. Ishak
(12 Goals)
N. Amiri
(5 Goals)
L. Palma
(5 Assists)
K. Sano
(2 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
KKS Lech Poznan and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats in Conference League
KKS Lech Poznan - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Six of Poznan’s last nine matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Eight of Poznan’s last nine home matches saw at least three goals scored.
- In 14 of their last 15 home matches in all competitions, Poznan saw BTTS.
- Three of Poznan’s last four Conference League games saw both teams score goals.
- In five of Mainz’s last nine away matches, there have been over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz are struggling in the Bundesliga, but the arrival of Urs Fischer is expected to raise the morale and push their Conference League credentials. The visitors have won three games in this league phase, and another win could confirm progression to playoffs. Poznan are in need of points too as they look to remain in the top 16.
Poznan have struggled to keep clean sheets this season, especially when playing at home. This game is likely to follow suit, and our KKS Lech Poznan vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is BTTS and over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
