England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
These two clubs resume their Premier League season after the international break. Brighton and Hove Albion are 12th in the table after seven games and host Newcastle United who are a place below them but only behind the Seagulls on goal difference. Here's our match prediction.
Brighton and Hove Albion have won two of their opening seven league fixtures but will want to be more consistent now the Premier League season is back underway. They have had some very impressive league results this season but some disappointing displays too.
Newcastle United have a busy schedule now that they are back in the Champions League. They have an almost identical record to their opponents but the Magpies have been struggling for goals, especially on the road as you'll read in the form section of this preview. Like their opponents they are four points adrift of the Champions League positions and won't want to see that gap widen further.
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The Best Betting Odds for Brighton v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.45 | 2.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Newcastle match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Brighton and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.01% for a win of Brighton against Newcastle with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Newcastle is 41.26% with odds of 3.64 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.73% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Brighton with odds of 2.71 at 22bet.
Brighton - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 43.01% | 2.95 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.77% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 19% | 7 at Bet365 |
Brighton vs Newcastle Form
Brighton and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
|
11
|
22 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Brighton and Newcastle Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Brighton vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2025 - Premier League
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2 Sept 2023 - Premier League
18 May 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion have nine points from their first seven league fixtures. The Seagulls have only won one of their last four league games. They are pretty frustrating to support at present due to their blowing hot and cold.
They have beaten Manchester City at home and won at Chelsea but lost at Everton and Bournemouth. They are yet to be beaten at home this season but two of their three fixtures have ended level. Their last home fixture saw them draw 2-2 with Tottenham after leading 2-0.
A total lack of goals in Newcastle away league games.
Newcastle United fans have also been having a frustrating time. They have long distances to travel for away games and are yet to see the Magpies score on the road this season. It's not all bad news though as they are yet to see their team concede a goal either.
United have only lost one of their last five league matches but need to start picking up some wins away from home. Their most recent league fixture saw them beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 at home.
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Brighton against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderJ. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
S. March
B. Gruda
T. Livramento
L. Hall
MidfielderY. Wissa
Brighton & Newcastle Squad Analysis
An international break is always a worrying time for clubs. Brighton and Hove Albion have a concern over the fitness of Diego Gomez. He had to leave the field of play early when on international duty with Paraguay with a thigh injury. He's doubtful for this game against Newcastle.
They will be looking for more goals from Danny Welbeck who is their top league scorer with a couple of goals. Albion have nine players who have scored in the Premier League this season, eight of them scoring just once.
Woltemade is in fine form for United.
Newcastle continue their bid to score their first away league goal of the season. While Isak has left the club, United have made an excellent signing in Nick Woltemade who has already scored three league goals for his new club but all on home soil.
Manager Eddie Howe will have to make due without another one of his summer striker signings in Yoane Wissa. The former Brentford player has yet to suit up for the Magpies and his debut still looks to be a few weeks away. Also missing out is Lewis Hall and Tino Livramento, while midfielder Joelinton is expected to be ready despite reportedly picking up a minor groin injury on international duty.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Newcastle
D. Welbeck
(7 Goals)
, 
D. Gomez
(7 Goals)
H. Barnes
(7 Goals)
, 
N. Woltemade
(7 Goals)
T. Watson
(3 Assists)
, 
M. Wieffer
(3 Assists)
, 
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
, 
Y. Minteh
(3 Assists)
B. Guimaraes
(4 Assists)
Brighton - Newcastle Key Points
- Five of Newcastle's seven league games this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- All three of Newcastle's away league fixtures this season have ended goalless.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Brighton's last four home matches against Newcastle.
- At all venues, under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last four league and cup games played between Newcastle and Brighton.
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Our Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction
Both clubs have nine points after the first seven games of this season and almost identical records. Brighton are yet to win two consecutive league games this season but remain unbeaten at home, though only one out of three matches has been won.
Newcastle United are unbeaten on their Premier League travels but haven't won either with three goalless draws. This doesn't look like being a fourth but a high-scoring game looks unlikely. Our main Brighton v Newcastle prediction is under 2.5.
Brighton vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Brighton to win or draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Newcastle
| Brighton vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.38 | 2.88 | +21.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Newcastle wins | 2.55 | 2.4 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 34.7% (-7.3%)
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Brighton vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
