Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Champions League tensions will tighten in Bergamo on Tuesday, when Atalanta BC take on Chelsea in a top-10 battle on Matchday 6. La Dea are 10th in the League Phase standings, while the Blues are seventh after five games. Check out our match prediction below!
After three wins on the bounce across all competitions, Raffaele Palladino suffered the second loss of his tenure in Bergamo at the weekend, going down 3-1 to Hellas Verona on Saturday. In his post-match press conference, the new boss berated his team’s performance against one of the worst teams in Serie A, and he will be demanding improvement in this match.
Chelsea produced an excellent effort to beat Barcelona 3-0 on MD4, but since then, they’ve failed to win a match, drawing two of their last three games, either side of a shocking defeat to Leeds. These two sides hold identical records in the UCL (W3 D1 L1), but the visitors have scored twice as many goals as their upcoming opponents - let’s get into some more key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Atalanta v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.6 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Atalanta vs Chelsea match is: under 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/12/2025 between Atalanta and Chelsea in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.71% for a win of Atalanta against Chelsea with odds of 3.55 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atalanta vs Chelsea is 35.42% with odds of 3.7 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Atalanta with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
Atalanta vs Chelsea Form
Atalanta and Chelsea's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
|
10
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Atalanta and Chelsea Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
Atalanta - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Atalanta’s Serie A struggles continued this past weekend, as they lost to Hellas Verona, a result that saw them drop to 12th place in the league standings and nine points behind the top four.
However, their Champions League form has been impressive, as they are unbeaten in their last four matches and kept clean sheets in their last three, following a 3-0 victory over Frankfurt on MD5.
While the hosts have only been beaten once at home this season, they are guilty of leaving far too many points on the table, having drawn six of their 10 games at this venue this term (W4 L1).
Atalanta have kept clean sheets in four of their last six home games in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Chelsea saw the gap to the top two in the Premier League widen to six points after their goalless draw against Bournemouth on Saturday. That was the first time they failed to score since the first match of the season.
In the UCL, the Blues are unbeaten in their last four games (W3 D1). They have also won their last three UEFA competition matches against Italian opposition and kept clean sheets in each of those victories.
Notably, the visitors have only earned one point in their two away games in the Champions League this term, and have only won one of their last four on the road across all competitions (D2 L1).
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Atalanta vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
G. Scalvini
L. Colwill
MidfielderD. Essugo
C. Palmer
R. Lavia
Atalanta & Chelsea Squad Analysis
After their dismal performance at the weekend, Raffaele Palladino is expected to shake things up here. Gianluca Scamacca is the most likely to be brought into the starting 11 for Nikola Krstovic after a solid cameo off the bench.
Former Blue, Davide Zappacosta, is another who could make way, potentially for Nikola Zalewski. Ademola Lookman scored his first UCL goal of the season on MD5 and should keep his place up front.
The hosts have no new injury concerns from the weekend, but Kamaldeen Sulemana is expected to miss out due to a muscle issue, while Mitchel Bakker (ACL) is a long-term absentee.
Moises Caicedo will be back in action for Chelsea in this match!
The Ecuadorian has been serving a suspension in the Premier League, but he is eligible to feature in Europe and will almost certainly slot into the engine room, with Reece James likely to be rested.
After netting in the victory against Blaugrana, Estevao became the second-youngest player (18 years and 215 days) to score in three consecutive Champions League matches after Kylian Mbappe.
Liam Delap sustained a shoulder injury at the Vitality on Saturday and will join Romeo Lavia, Levi Colwill and Dario Essugo on the sidelines this week. Mykhalo Mudryk is suspended.
Most goals and assists
Atalanta
Chelsea
A. Lookman
(3 Goals)
, 
L. Samardzic
(3 Goals)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(3 Goals)
, 
G. Scamacca
(3 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(5 Goals)
, 
P. Neto
(5 Goals)
, 
Estevao
(5 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Assists)
R. James
(8 Assists)
Atalanta and Chelsea Stats in Champions League
Atalanta - Chelsea Key Points
- Seven of Atalanta’s last 10 matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Atalanta have kept clean sheets in four of their last six home games.
- Atalanta have only conceded 2+ goals in one of their last 10 home games.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last 10 matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Chelsea have kept three clean sheets in their last five away games.
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Our Atalanta vs Chelsea Prediction
Atalanta have kept four clean sheets in their last six home games and have been tough to beat at Stadio di Bergamo this season, but their performance at the weekend against second-bottom Verona was extremely concerning.
Since stunning Barcelona last month, Chelsea have not won a match and enter this one after failing to score for the first time since August. They also lost Delap to injury at the Vitality, and we feel they will look to prioritise the clean sheet in this one. Our Atalanta vs Chelsea prediction is under 3.5.
Atalanta vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Atalanta have kept clean sheets in four of their last six home games, while Chelsea have shut out opponents in three of their last five away matches.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Atalanta vs. Chelsea game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Atalanta and Chelsea when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Champions League!
Atalanta vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Atalanta vs Chelsea will take place on December 9 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Atalanta vs Chelsea will be played at Stadio di Bergamo in Italy.
The Champions League match between Atalanta vs Chelsea will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
