ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions
Unseeded Adam Walton faces lucky loser Mariano Navone in round one of the Cincinnati Open. The winner of this outdoor hard court match will be up against 12th seed Daniil Medvedev in round two. Here's our match prediction.
Walton has won 28 hard court matches this year and is 85th in the live rankings, just seven places below that of his opponent. His most recent tournament saw the Australian lose in round two in Toronto but it was to Alexander Zverev.
Better hard court form had been shown before that with a run to the last four in Los Cabos losing to eventual champion Denis Shapovalov.
Mariano Navone was beaten in the second qualifying round by Emilio Nava. Before that, he'd beaten Jan-Lennard Struff in three sets. It wasn't the end of his time in Cincinnati as he was reinstated as a lucky loser.
While Walton has had 28 hard court wins this year, Navone has only an 11-22 record on this surface in his whole career. The 24-year-old is far better on clay and has not made it past round two of a hard court tournament in 2025.
Three of his last four matches on this surface have been lost and we tip Walton to defeat him.
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The Best Betting Odds for Adam Walton v Mariano Navone Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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1.8 | 1.91 |
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1.87 | 1.93 |
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Who will win the Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone match is: Adam Walton to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone game on 08/08/2025 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:
- Adam Walton has a 43.97% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.89.
- Mariano Navone has a 56.03% probability of winning facing Adam Walton ⭐ with odds of 2 at Bet365.
Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adam Walton has a 43.97 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Adam Walton | 43.97 % |
Mariano Navone | 56.03 % |
Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone Form
Adam Walton and Mariano Navone Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
18 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Los Cabos Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
6 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
23 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Umag Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
Adam Walton - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Navone has already lost one match in this tournament.
- Navone has not made it past round two of an ATP Tour hard court tournament this year.
- Walton recently made it to the semi-finals in Los Cabos.
- Walton has won 28 hard court matches this year.
- Navone has only played 33 hard court matches as a professional, winning just 11.
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Our Adam Walton vs Mariano Navone Prediction
If this match was being played on clay, it'd be Navone who would be strongly fancied to win. It's on a hard court though and that's why Walton is our choice to progress to round two. The Australian was a recent semi-finalist in Los Cabos.
That's a far better performance than Navone has achieved on hard courts. He had to be reinstated as a lucky loser just to get into this main draw. Our Adam Walton v Mariano Navone prediction is Adam Walton to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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